D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 46.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accrue 15.3 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
After accounting for 25.3% of his offense's carries last season, D'Andre Swift has been more involved in the ground game this season, now comprising 49.2%.

Favors Under

D'Andre Swift's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a noteworthy decline in his rushing skills over last year's 5.4 figure.
D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.65 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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