D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 carries.
After comprising 25.3% of his team's rushing play calls last year, D'Andre Swift has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, currently taking on 49.1%.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
D'Andre Swift has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.50 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.83 seconds per snap.
D'Andre Swift's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 5.4 rate.
D'Andre Swift grades out as one of the worst running backs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging just 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.

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