D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be a much bigger part of his team's running game this week (40.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.6% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
D'Andre Swift's ground efficiency has gotten better this season, accumulating 5.67 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.76 mark last season.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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