D'Andre Swift Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing TD

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+228/-371).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +273 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +228.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.9% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be much more involved in his team's run game near the end zone this week (54.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.5% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
D'Andre Swift has run for 0.44 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (86th percentile).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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