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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+228/-371).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +273 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +228.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.9% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be much more involved in his team's run game near the end zone this week (54.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.5% in games he has played).
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
  • D'Andre Swift has run for 0.44 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (86th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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