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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

D'Andre Swift has run a route on 56.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is expected by the projection model to land in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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