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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in football (in a neutral context) against the Eagles defense this year, averaging 26.21 seconds per play.
  • The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • D'Andre Swift's 81.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 75.9% rate.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.
  • D'Andre Swift has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing game this year (9.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.4%).
  • D'Andre Swift's receiving skills have worsened this season, notching a measly 2.2 adjusted receptions vs 3.4 last season.

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