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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • D'Andre Swift is positioned as one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
  • D'Andre Swift's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 75.9% to 83.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • D'Andre Swift's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 22.2.
  • The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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