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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

With a terrific 2.7 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift ranks among the leading RBs in the pass game in football.

D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.9% to 83.0%.

This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has conceded a massive 88.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

D'Andre Swift's 16.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 22.2.

The Giants safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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