D'Andre Swift Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to total 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
D'Andre Swift checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a terrific 3.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 33.9 per game) this year.
D'Andre Swift's 60.8% Snap% this season indicates a significant boost in his offensive utilization over last season's 41.6% figure.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

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