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D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect D'Andre Swift to total 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.With a remarkable 3.3 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the best RBs in the pass game in the league.D'Andre Swift's 88.2% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 75.9% rate.This year, the porous Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up a massive 87.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the largest rate in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.83 seconds per snap.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 31.9 per game) this year.D'Andre Swift's 60.5% snap rate this season shows a meaningful gain in his offensive workload over last season's 41.6% mark.When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Kansas City's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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