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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to accumulate 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (83.4%) versus RBs this year (83.4%).

The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

D'Andre Swift's 21.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 27.5.

The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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