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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The model projects D'Andre Swift to garner 3.8 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

D'Andre Swift has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 12.9% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

D'Andre Swift's 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a significant progression in his receiving talent over last season's 15.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.9%) versus RBs since the start of last season (77.9%).

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