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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

D'Andre Swift has run a route on 50.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

In this week's contest, D'Andre Swift is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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