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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bears, who are heavy -9.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 63.3% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The Bears have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

This year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has allowed a puny 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-best in football.

This year, the imposing Lions defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.8 yards.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been fantastic this year, profiling as the best in football.

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