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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.

D'Andre Swift has run a route on 53.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 81st percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

D'Andre Swift has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

D'Andre Swift has accrued a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 28.0) to running backs this year.

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