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D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.D'Andre Swift's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 75.9% to 88.1%.D'Andre Swift's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this season, totaling 11.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 6.96 mark last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.6 per game) this year.When it comes to air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the measly 19th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, D'Andre Swift has been used much less in his offense's passing attack.
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