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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • D'Andre Swift has put up a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • D'Andre Swift's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 75.9% to 83.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • D'Andre Swift's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 22.2.
  • D'Andre Swift's 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 29.0 mark.

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