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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

D'Andre Swift has accrued a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.9% to 83.0%.

D'Andre Swift's 9.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates an impressive improvement in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

D'Andre Swift's 16.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 22.2.

D'Andre Swift's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 29.0 figure.

D'Andre Swift's 5.0 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving ability over last season's 6.5 figure.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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