D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

reorder

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 9:21 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.3 per game) this year.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
D'Andre Swift's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 29.0 rate.
D'Andre Swift's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, averaging a measly 5.69 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.53 rate last season.
This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed a mere 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus RBs this year, conceding 5.05 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.