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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to total 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • As it relates to air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the towering 81st percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a monstrous 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 33.9 per game) this year.
  • D'Andre Swift's 60.8% Snap% this season indicates a significant boost in his offensive utilization over last season's 41.6% figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's 21.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 29.0 figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's 5.7 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a material diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 6.5 rate.

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