D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:11 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to earn 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (49.0) versus running backs this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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