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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to total 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

D'Andre Swift has accrued a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in football.

The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

D'Andre Swift's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 27.5.

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

D'Andre Swift has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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