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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

In this contest, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the model to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.2 rush attempts.

D'Andre Swift has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this season (61.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (49.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Detroit's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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