D'Andre Swift Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
In this contest, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projections to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
After taking on 25.3% of his offense's carries last year, D'Andre Swift has had a larger role in the ground game this year, now making up 48.3%.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year in run support.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends project as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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