D'Andre Swift Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.
This week, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the model to rank in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 14.5 rush attempts.
D'Andre Swift has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (45.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (25.3%).

Favors Under

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's collection of DEs has been great this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the league.

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