Damiere Byrd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Damiere Byrd

NFL · Player Props

Damiere Byrd

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Damiere Byrd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+109/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Damiere Byrd's 29.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Damiere Byrd's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling a mere 1.0 yards per game vs 2.4 last season.

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