Damiere Byrd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Damiere Byrd

NFL · Player Props

Damiere Byrd

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Damiere Byrd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damiere Byrd's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus wide receivers this year (70.3%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 7th-worst group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Damiere Byrd's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, accumulating just 0.7 yards per game compared to 2.4 last season.
Damiere Byrd's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 32.7%.

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