Damiere Byrd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Damiere Byrd

NFL · Player Props

Damiere Byrd

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Damiere Byrd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Damiere Byrd has compiled many more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).
Damiere Byrd's 29.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.
Damiere Byrd has been among the top wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 91st percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Damiere Byrd's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 43.5%.

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