Damiere Byrd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Damiere Byrd

NFL · Player Props

Damiere Byrd

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Damiere Byrd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damiere Byrd has compiled many more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).
Damiere Byrd's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.2.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Damiere Byrd has been among the best WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 86th percentile.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus wide receivers this year (70.3%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Damiere Byrd has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
Damiere Byrd's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 32.7%.

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