Damiere Byrd Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Damiere Byrd

NFL · Player Props

Damiere Byrd

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Damiere Byrd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-729).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +394 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Damiere Byrd to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (7.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Damiere Byrd has compiled far more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).
Damiere Byrd ranks in the 92nd percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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