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Damien Harris

Damien Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Damien Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Damien Harris to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (24.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (40.9% in games he has played).

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