Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 5th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 47.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).

Favors Under

Dameon Pierce has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this season (63.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (77.3%).
The Houston offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
Dameon Pierce's 47.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows an impressive diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 71.0 rate.
Dameon Pierce's running efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.92 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.22 rate last year.

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