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Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are projected by our trusted projection set to call 69.4 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.The Houston Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.0 plays per game.This year, the poor Colts run defense has given up a staggering 133.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-most in the league.As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's safety corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Texans as the 9th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 41.4% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.While Dameon Pierce has garnered 43.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Houston's run game in this contest at 15.7%.The Houston offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.Dameon Pierce's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a substantial decrease in his running ability over last year's 71.0 rate.
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