Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run on 48.3% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Dameon Pierce is anticipated by the model to rank in the 78th percentile among running backs with 14.6 rush attempts.
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (132 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

Favors Under

Dameon Pierce has been much less involved in his offense's run game this season (55.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (77.3%).
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
Dameon Pierce's 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a substantial reduction in his running talent over last season's 71.0 mark.
Dameon Pierce's 3.0 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a noteworthy decline in his running ability over last season's 4.2 figure.
With a lousy tally of 2.30 yards after contact (2nd percentile) this year, Dameon Pierce has been among the least formidable running backs in the NFL.

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