Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 132.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
The Houston Texans have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When talking about blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the worst in the league last year.
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 90.0 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Jacksonville's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

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