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Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to total 17.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among RBs.Dameon Pierce has garnered 82.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.Dameon Pierce has picked up 77.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (93rd percentile).Dameon Pierce has been among the best running backs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 3.80 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 30.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
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