Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accrue 18.6 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 80.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has averaged 85.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (95th percentile).
Dameon Pierce has been among the best running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 3.96 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 86th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.