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Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to notch 18.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.Dameon Pierce has earned 78.2% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.Dameon Pierce has averaged 84.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (96th percentile).Dameon Pierce has been among the best RBs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 4.17 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 91st percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).The Texans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Opposing teams have run for the 9th-least yards in football (just 106 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
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