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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 76.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accrue 20.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Dameon Pierce has garnered 84.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • Dameon Pierce has generated 85.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (95th percentile).
  • Dameon Pierce has been among the best RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.60 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 80th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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