Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 76.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accrue 20.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 84.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has generated 85.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (95th percentile).
Dameon Pierce has been among the best RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.60 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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