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Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-103/-122).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 84.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ -122.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to total 21.9 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.Dameon Pierce has garnered 83.9% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.Dameon Pierce has generated 84.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (96th percentile).Dameon Pierce has been among the best RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.80 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 88th percentile.The New York Giants defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.25 yards-per-carry.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).The Texans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.The Houston Texans have gone for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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