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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dameon Pierce has received 94.4% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Dameon Pierce has run for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (85th percentile).
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the least touchdowns in the NFL (0.17 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.
  • The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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