Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dameon Pierce has received 94.4% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has run for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (85th percentile).
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the least touchdowns in the NFL (0.17 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.
The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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