Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+219/-338).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -322 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -338.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 84.8% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Texans are an enormous 17.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The Texans have been the 10th-least run-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 39.3% red zone run rate.
The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.50 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

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