Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dameon Pierce has earned 89.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most TDs in the NFL (1.36 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Texans are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The Texans rank as the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.8% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

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