Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -151 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dameon Pierce has garnered 96.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has run for 0.33 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (76th percentile).

Favors Under

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-least touchdowns in the league (0.50 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 8th-best DE corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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