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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

New York Giants vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dameon Pierce has been given 95.5% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Dameon Pierce has rushed for 0.38 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (80th percentile).
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.
  • The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.62 per game) vs. the New York Giants defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans have gone for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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