Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dameon Pierce has been given 95.5% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has rushed for 0.38 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (80th percentile).
The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Texans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.62 per game) vs. the New York Giants defense this year.
The Houston Texans have gone for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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