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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Dameon Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a giant 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 9th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.83 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Dameon Pierce has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 8.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

Dameon Pierce has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.9% pass rate.

The Houston Texans have played in the 5th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense performance when facing windier conditions this week.

The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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