Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
Dameon Pierce has been a less important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 46.2% of snaps vs 63.1% last season.
Dameon Pierce's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a significant gain in his receiving skills over last season's 4.5 figure.
Dameon Pierce's 8.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 0.0% rate.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Dameon Pierce's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 82.5% to 70.8%.

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