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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Dameon Pierce grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a striking 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

Dameon Pierce's pass-game efficiency has been refined this year, totaling 6.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 4.50 rate last year.

Dameon Pierce's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this year, compiling 7.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 mark last year.

The New York Jets pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Dameon Pierce's 27.7% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his pass game workload over last season's 40.6% rate.

Dameon Pierce's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 82.5% to 73.9%.

More Dameon Pierce Player Props

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