Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to total 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Dameon Pierce has totaled a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among RBs, averaging a mere 4.25 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.
Dameon Pierce has been among the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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