Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.
Dameon Pierce has played on 54.7% of his team's snaps this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Dameon Pierce has posted a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 13th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among running backs, averaging a measly 3.95 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.
Dameon Pierce has been among the bottom running backs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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